Tuesday, April 2, 2013

2013 WCP Reality Check Time

We've gone through 11 days of games and its time to recognize which teams still have a chance at the playoffs and which are pretty much done.

Group A: France is a sure thing for the playoffs and should manage to get the top spot as well. Sudan is looking like it will advance easily, but I don't think its at the guarantee stage yet. El Salvador needs to win out - highly unlikely but strange things can happen. Italy tries hard but won't advance again. Somalia was out before it even played its first game.

Group B: Jamaica has looked really good so far but still needs to play Laos and Afghanistan and anything can happen in those games. I'm giving Jamaica a 50/50 shot to make it through. They've choked in the past and they don't deserve anyones confidence at this point. Besides an opening game tie to Afghanistan, Laos has been pretty dominant. I fully expect this team to rally and they're my pick to win the group. I'll take them over Jamaica. Germany looks like its best days are behind it. A competitive team without the firepower to compete in this loaded group. Northern Ireland has a win against South Korea and won't have another meaningful result. Afghanistan has played twice and looks good, but squadered two leads and now only has two points to show. Going to be an uphill battle, just like last year. Will come down to the game against Jamaica for that final playoff spot. South Korea is bad again.

Group C: Poland has taken care of business in the games it needed to win, even if it barely managed. Will be in much tougher against Canada and Nigeria. Nigeria got a big, lucky win against Canada and then did its annual faceplant against Hungary. Hungary has played well and managed a big win, but I can't see it making the playoffs. Canada looks great, got one unlucky result, and now will probably win out the group and get the top seed. Norway has played OK, but no goals means no wins every time. Game against Greece to decide who gets last in the group. Greece tackles hard and has a good keeper. I'm expecting Canada to get top spot and Poland to get second.

Group D: Soooo wide open. Scotland, Ireland, Portugal and Serbia are pretty much equal, with two games remaining apiece. This could go any way and since I've avoided the games in this group I can't make an educated prediction. Scotland likely has the easiest games left, so I'll give them second spot and then based on raw talent Ireland will likely get first in the group again. Colombia choked away its chance for the playoffs and Djibouti doesn't know how to defend.

7 comments:

Anonymous said...

U on crack? How can Canada get a top stop while Poland hasn't lost a game? They are one loss away from being eliminated too. Poland finishes top in this group and if Nigeria don't have a butterfly fingers goalie in net again should finish second

Playmaker said...

Because Canada will win out the rest of its games, including beating Poland. So even if Poland beats Nigeria - and that's a big if - Canada and Poland will be tied with 4-1 records and Canada gets top spot through virtue of the head-to-head result. Its easy logic.

@Cam_Lag said...

If teams have the same record, does it go straight to head-head record or goal differential first? -I have heard that it went straight to goals for but that didn't sound right

Anonymous said...

I wouldn't put down hungary so easily. They played real good against nigeria. Should have beat norway (two posts and crossbar). I bet they'll give canada a good run for their money.

Anonymous said...

Hungary got one lucky win thanks to Nigeria goalies butterfly fingers so don't think they will win anymore games and so it's coming down to Poland and Canada to get first and second

Anonymous said...

They should beat greece

Anonymous said...

Scotland is officially out of the race. Those cry babies thought they were going to get through the group stages. Give me a break. Scotland goal keeper is like a little school girl. He needs to dummy up and shut his trap. You guys are OUT!!!!!!!